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Asia News Agency is pleased to offer
a Special Study on the emerging political scenario in India in
the wake of the recent assembly and by elections in some major
states. The study is of critical importance as it analyses the
challenges faced by the key national and regional parties which
form the nucleus of India’s political system.
As a matter of fact, the Congress has come back to power in
all three states where Assembly elections were held in October
2009 but this cannot be said to be a decisive move towards the
party coming to power at the Centre on its own. The November
2009 by elections to 31 seats in the states of Uttar Pradesh,
West Bengal, Assam, Himachal Pradesh, Rajasthan etc validate
this theses. The study examines the challenges in the Indian
polity and focuses on following issues:
Emerging national trends: The Congress and its allies
in the UPA demonstrate capability of providing national
leadership. The decimation of the BJP and the Third Front.
How the wind is blowing: All may not be smooth in
future for the Congress. The allies are more assertive;
developments have increased the distance between the Congress
and UPA allies that include Lalu Prasad Yadav’s Rashtriya
Janata Dal, Mulayam Singh Yadav’s Samajwadi Party and Ramvilas
Paswan’s Lok Janshakti Party.
BJP travails continue particularly its leadership
crisis and its equation with the RSS. A weakened BJP is
affecting its relations with other constituents of the National
Democratic Alliance (NDA) - the Janata Dal United, the Shiromani
Akali Dal and the Shiv Sena.
Disintegration of Third Front formed by the Left
parties with a group of regional parties. The Left parties are
on the defensive in their own bastions.
The emergence of regional parties like Raj Thackeray’s
Maharashtra Navnirman Sena (MNS), the Trinamul Congress and
Mayawati’s Bahujan Samaj Party.
Finally the study identifies key forthcoming developments
to examine if the resurgence of the Congress will continue
unabated.
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